Scientific Publications

Accepted

2025

• Aguilar, J. E., & Bürkner, P.-C. (2025). Generalized decomposition priors on \(R^2\). Bayesian Analysis. Open access on arXiv. doi:10.1214/25-BA1524

• Reiser, P., Aguilar, J. E., Guthke, A., & Bürkner, P.-C. (2025). Uncertainty quantification and propagation in surrogate-based Bayesian inference. Statistics and Computing. Open access on arXiv. doi:10.1007/s11222-025-10597-8

• Matabuena, M., Ghosal, R., Aguilar, J. E., Wagner, R., Merino, C. F., Castro, J. S., Zipunnikov, V., Onnela, J. P., & Gude, F. (2025). Glucodensity functional profiles outperform traditional continuous glucose monitoring metrics. Nature Scientific Reports. doi:10.1038/s41598-025-18119-2

2023

• Aguilar, J. E., & Bürkner, P.-C. (2023). Intuitive joint priors for Bayesian linear multilevel models: the R2D2M2 prior. Electronic Journal of Statistics. Open access on arXiv. doi:10.1214/23-EJS2136

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In review

• Aguilar, J. E., Kohns, D., Vehtari, A., & Bürkner, P.-C. (2025). R² priors for grouped variance decomposition in high-dimensional regression. arXiv preprint.

• Fazio, L., Scholz, M., Aguilar, J. E., & Bürkner, P.-C. (2025). Primed priors for simulation-based validation of Bayesian models. arXiv preprint.

• Aguilar, J. E., & Bürkner, P.-C. (2025). Dependency-aware shrinkage priors for high-dimensional regression. arXiv preprint.